USGS -- SMIG --
Surface-water quality and flow Modeling Interest Group

Spotlight on the Illinois District Modeling Program

compiled by Audrey Ishii

USGS, Water Resources Division
221 N. Broadway Ave.
Urbana, IL 61801
Internet: alishii@usgs.gov
Phone: (217) 344-0037 x3026
FAX: (217) 344-0082


Editor's note:
This is the second in a series of Spotlight articles on various district programs. The object of the series is to share with the modeling community the activities of the modelers in a particular USGS district. For more information about each of the projects listed, please contact the project chiefs. Thanks to Audrey for putting this compilation together (3/24/97).
map photo
Map of Illinois and photo of dye injection at Stratton Dam on the Fox River during induced unsteady flow. A larger map (122k GIF) and a larger photo (109k JPEG) are available.

Surface-Water Modeling Projects:

o Du Page watersheds
HSPF calibration for three small watersheds in Du Page County
o Lake County runoff
Rainfall-runoff relations in Lake County (HSPF)
o FEQ verification
FEQ verification and documentation for one-dimensional unsteady flow (BLTM)
o Lake County peak flows
Peak flow analysis for small watersheds in Lake County (HEC-1)
o Salt Creek
Reaeration and water-quality modeling for Salt Creek (QUAL2E)
o Illinois River
Use of one-dimensional flow model to compute discharge on the Illinois River (FEQ)
o Fox Chain-of-Lakes
Two-dimensional sediment transport model of Fox Chain-of-Lakes (SED2D)
o Flood-plain mapping
Ebner Coulee flood-plain mapping with HEC-1 and HEC-2
o Design-flood estimation
Design-flood estimation based on Green and Ampt infiltration abstraction procedure (HEC-1)
o Flood-forcast system
Flood-forecast system utilizing HSPF and FEQ with GENSCN interface

HSPF Calibration for Three Small Watersheds in Du Page County

Project Chief: James Duncker <jduncker@usgs.gov>

Abstract

Regional Rainfall-Runoff Relations for Simulation of Streamflow for Watersheds in Du Page County, Illinois

Regional rainfall-runoff relations were simulated for watersheds in Du Page County, Ill. Rainfall and streamflow data collected from December 1985 through September 1993 were utilized to calibrate and verify a continuous-simulation rainfall-runoff model for three watersheds (11.8-19.0 square miles in area). Classification of land cover into three categories of pervious (grassland, forest/wetland, and agricultural land) and one category of impervious subareas was sufficient to accurately simulate the rainfall-runoff relations for the three watersheds.

Rainfall-runoff relations, defined through joint calibration of the rainfall-runoff model and verified for independent periods, presented in this report, allow estimation of runoff for watersheds in Du Page County, Ill., with an error in the total water balance less than 4.0 percent, an average absolute error in the annual-flow estimates of 17.1 percent with the error rarely exceeding 25 percent of annual flows, and correlation coefficients and coefficients of model-fit efficiency for monthly flows of at least 87 and 76 percent, respectively. Close reproduction of the runoff-volume duration curves was obtained. A frequency analysis of storm-runoff volume indicates a tendency to undersimulate large storms, which may result from underestimation of the amount of impervious land cover in the watershed and errors in measuring rainfall for convective storms. Overall, the results of regional calibration and verification of the rainfall-runoff model indicate the simulated rainfall-runoff relations are adequate for stormwater-management plannning and design in Du Page County.

Publications

Duncker, J.J., Vail, T.J., and Earle, J.D., 1993, Rainfall in and near Du Page County, February 1986-September 1991: U.S. Geological Survey Water Resources Investigations Report 92-485, 142 p.

Duncker, J.J., 1997, Regional rainfall-runoff relations for simulations of streamflow for watersheds in Du Page County, Illinois: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 97-xxx, in review.

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Rainfall-Runoff Relations in Eight Watersheds in Lake County

Project Chief: James Duncker <jduncker@usgs.gov>

Abstract

Regional Rainfall-Runoff Relations for Simulation of Stream Flow for Watersheds in Lake County, Illinois

Rainfall and streamflow data collected in Lake County, Ill., from March 1990 through September 1993 were used to (1) calibrate a rainfall-runoff model for an area encompassing three watersheds (individual areas of 17.2, 35.7, and 37.0 square miles) and (2) verify the regional model parameter set obtained from the calibration by applying the parameter set to rainfall-runoff models for an additional small (6.3 square miles) watershed and a large (59.6 square miles) watershed. In addition, rainfall and stream-flow data collected from April 1991 through September 1993 were used to calibrate the rainfall-runoff model for three single land-use watersheds (38.2-305 acres), called hydrologic response units (HRU's). Significant differences were found between the best parameters used in the HRU models and in the larger watershed models. The main channels in the HRU's are intermittent streams; thus, the parameters in the HRU models were selected such that a fluctuating water table could be simulated; runoff from the larger watersheds is not as sensitive to the effects of a fluctuating water table. Classification of land cover into two pervious subareas (forest and grass) and one impervious subarea (including parking lots, streets, and rooftops, among others) was sufficient to simulate the rainfall-runoff relations for all watersheds accurately. The model parameters presented in this report, which were refined through regional calibration and verified for watersheds not considered in the calibration, allow simulation of runoff in watersheds in Lake County, Ill., with approximately 93-percent accuracy in the total water balance, an average absolute error in the annual-flow estimates of 10.9 percent (and an error rarely exceeding 25 percent for annual flow), and monthly water balances with correlation coefficients of 93 percent and coefficients of model-fit efficiency of 86 percent. The models closely reproduced the partial-duration series of runoff and storm-runoff frequencies for the modeled watersheds.

Publications

Duncker, J.J., Vail, T.J., and Melching, C.S., 1995, Regional rainfall-runoff relations for simulation of streamflow for watersheds in Lake County, Illinois: U.S. Geological Survey Water Resources Investigations Report 95-4023, 71 p.

Duncker, J.J., Vail, T.J., and Robinson, S.M., 1994, Rainfall in and near Lake County, Illinois, December 1989-September 1993: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 94-113, 228 p.

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Hydraulic Model Verification and Documentation for Unsteady Flow

Project Chief: Audrey Ishii <alishii@usgs.gov>

For detailed descriptions of the FEQ and FEQUTL models, project progress and plans, and links to the Computational Problem Diagnostic Guide and Flowchart, see the Unsteady Flow Model Verification and Documentation Project Homepage

Problem

Steady-flow model computations may be inadequate for flood-plain delineation in many locations, particularly where river reaches have low or flat slopes and extensive flood-plain flow and storage. Most unsteady-flow models are restricted from application at internal boundaries, such as bridges, dams, weirs, and culverts. A verified and documented unsteady-flow model that includes internal boundaries in its overall solution scheme is needed for a wide variety of applications.

Objective

To verify and document the one-dimensional, unsteady-flow, Full EQuations (FEQ) hydraulic routing model and its companion Full EQuations UTiLity (FEQUTL) program. The verification will be accomplished with well-documented data sets of measured flows and elevations under a variety of unsteady-flow conditions. The documentation will include a detailed description of the governing equations of the model, solution procedures, input and output requirements, and a user's guide to model applications.

Approach

The study has four main tasks:
  1. data collection and documentation,
  2. model verification with a previously calibrated model,
  3. model documentation, and
  4. the preparation, testing, and revision of a user's guide.
For the first task, discharge and stage data will be collected with continuous recorders on a small stream subject to overbank and backwater flow. Measurement of flows in the overbank and culvert sections will be made during floods, and elevations upstream and downstream from the culvert will be recorded.

This data set and the dye, stage, and discharge data collected during a period of unsteady flow on the Fox River for a previous project (IL091) will be documented in a report and modeled using FEQ, and for the dye data, BLTM. Additionally, sewer pipe flow data, measured in a laboratory will be used to test the FEQ model routines. The induced or natural floodwaves will be routed through the models and the differences between the simulated and measured flows and elevations compared. For the Fox River model, the simulated flow field will be input to a transport model and the simulated dye concentrations compared to the measured dye concentrations.

The model documentation (task 3) will result in a report documenting (a) river network visualization and schematization, flow-governing equations, and solution procedures used in FEQ; (b) governing equations and tabular representations used in the well-established features of FEQUTL; and (c) input formats for FEQ and FEQUTL.

The final task (task 4) is to write and test a user's guide that describes a specific, typical application of the model in sufficient detail to provide guidance to first-time users and a ready reference of key features for experienced users. This guide will be tested on first-time users within the Illinois District and revised prior to publication.

Publications

Ishii, A.L., and Wilder, J.E., 1993, Effect of boundary condition selection on unsteady-flow model calibration, in Proceedings of the XXV Congress of the International Association for Hydraulic Research, Tokyo, p. 193-200.

Turner, M.J., 1994, Data-collection methods and data summary for verification of a one-dimensional, unsteady-flow model of the Fox River in Illinois: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 93-483, 40 p.

Turner, M.J., Pulokas, A.P., and Ishii, A.L., 1996, Implementation and verification of a one-dimensional, unsteady-flow model for Spring Brook near Warrenville, Illinois: U.S. Geological Survey Water-Supply Paper 2455, 35 p.

In Press:

Ishii, A.L., and Turner, M.J., 1997, Verification of a one-dimensional, unsteady flow model for the Fox River in Illinois: U.S. Geological Survey Water-Supply Paper 2477, in press.

Franz, D.D., and Melching, C.S., 1997, Full Equations (FEQ) model for the solution of the full, dynamic equations of motion for one-dimensional unsteady flow in open channels and through control structures: U.S. Geological Survey Water-Resources Investigations Report 96-4240, in press.

Franz, D.D., and Melching, C.S., 1997, Approximating the hydraulic properties of open channels and control structures, during unsteady flow using the Full Equations Utility (FEQUTL) program: U.S. Geological Survey Water- Resources Investigations Report, 97-4037, in press.

In Review:

Franz, D.D., and Ishii, A.L., 1997, User's Guide for the Full-Equations (FEQ) model of one-dimensional, unsteady, open-channel flow: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 97-___, in review.

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Peak Flow Analysis for Small Watersheds in Lake County (HEC-1)

Project Chief: Steven Melching <csmelchi@usgs.gov>

Abstract

Equations for Estimating Synthetic Unit-Hydrograph Parameter Values for Small Watersheds in Lake County, Illinois

Design hydrographs computed from design storms, simple models of abstractions (interception, depression storage, and infiltration), and synthetic unit hydrographs provide vital information for stormwater, flood-plain, and water- resources management throughout the United States. Rainfall and runoff data for small watersheds in Lake County collected between 1990 and 1995 were studied to develop equations for estimation of synthetic unit-hydrograph parameters on the basis of watershed and storm characteristics. The synthetic unit-hydrograph parameters of interest were the time of concentration (TC) and watershed-storage coefficient (R) for the Clark unit-hydrograph method, the unit-graph lag (UL) for the Soil Conservation Service (now known as the Natural Resources Conservation Service) dimensionless unit hydrograph, and the hydrograph-time lag (TL) for the linear-reservoir method for unit-hydrograph estimation. Data from 66 storms with effective-precipitation depths greater than 0.4 inches on 9 small watersheds (areas between 0.06 and 37 square miles) were utilized to develop the estimation equations, and data from 11 storms on 8 of these watersheds were utilized to verify (test) the estimation equations. The synthetic unit-hydrograph parameters were determined by calibration using the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Flood Hydrograph Package HEC-1 (TC, R, and UL) or by manual analysis of the rainfall and runoff data (TL). The relation between synthetic unit-hydrograph parameters, and watershed and storm characteristics was determined by multiple linear regression of the logarithms of the parameters and characteristics.

Separate sets of equations were developed with watershed area and main channel length as the starting parameters. Percentage of impervious cover, main channel slope, and depth of effective precipitation also were identified as important characteristics for estimation of synthetic unit-hydrograph parameters. The estimation equations utilizing area had multiple correlation coefficients of 0.873, 0.961, 0.968, and 0.963 for TC, R, UL, and TL, respectively, and the estimation equations utilizing main channel length had multiple correlation coefficients of 0.845, 0.957, 0.961, and 0.963 for TC, R, UL, and TL, respectively.

Simulation of the measured hydrographs for the verification storms utilizing TC and R obtained from the estimation equations yielded good results without calibration. The peak discharge for 8 of the 11 storms was estimated within 25 percent and the time-to-peak discharge for 10 of the 11 storms was estimated within 20 percent. Thus, application of the estimation equations to determine synthetic unit-hydrograph parameters for design-storm simulation may result in reliable design hydrographs; as long as the physical characteristics of the watersheds under consideration are within the range of those for the watersheds in this study (area: 0.06-37 square miles, main channel length: 0.33-16.6 miles, main channel slope: 3.13-55.3 feet per mile, and percentage of impervious cover: 7.32-40.6 percent). The estimation equations are most reliable when applied to watersheds with areas less than 25 square miles.

Publications

Melching, C.S., and Marquadt, J.S., 1997, Equations for estimating synthetic unit-hydrograph parameter values for small watersheds in Lake County, Illinois: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 96-474, 49 p.

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Reaeration and Water-Quality Modeling for Salt Creek (QUAL2E)

Project Chief: Steve Melching <csmelchi@usgs.gov>

Abstract

Simulation of Water Quality for Salt Creek in Northeastern Illinois

Water-quality processes in the Salt Creek watershed in northeastern Illinois were simulated with a computer model. Selected waste-load scenarios for 7-day, 10-year low-flow conditions were simulated in the stream system. The model development involved the calibration of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency QUAL2E model to water-quality constituent concentration data collected by the Illinois Environmental Protection Agency (IEPA) for a diel survey on August 29-30, 1995, and the verification of this model with water-quality constituent concentration data collected by the IEPA for a diel survey on June 27-28, 1995. In-stream measurements of sediment oxygen demand rates and carbonaceous biochemcial oxygen demand (CBOD) decay rates and by the IEPA and traveltime and reaeration-rate coefficients by the U.S. Geological Survey facilitated the development of a model for simulation of water quality in the Salt Creek watershed. In general, the verification of the calibrated model increased confidence in the utility of the model for water-quality planning in the Salt Creek watershed. However, the model was adjusted to better simulate constituent concentrations measured during the June 27-28, 1995, diel survey.

Two versions of the QUAL2E model were utilized to simulate dissolved oxygen (DO) concentrations in the Salt Creek watershed for selected effluent discharge and concentration scenarios for water-quality planning: (1) the QUAL2E model calibrated to the August 29-30, 1995 , diel survey, and (2) the QUAL2E model adjusted to the June 27-28, 1995 diel survey. The results of these simulations indicated that the QUAL2E model adjusted to the June 27-28, 1995, diel survey simulates reliable information for water-quality planning. The results of these simulations also indicated that to maintain DO concentrations greater than 5 milligrams per liter (mg/L) througout most of Salt Creek for 7-day, 10-year low-flow conditions, the treatment plants (STP's) must discharge effluent with CBOD and total ammonia as nitrogen concentrations substatially below the permit limits. If the STP's discharge effluent with CBOD and total ammonia as nitrogen concentrations at the permit limits for 7-day, 10-year low-flow conditions, DO concentrations less than 5 mg/L are expected for all of Salt Creek downstream from Fullerton Avenue (river mile 23.1).

Publications

Melching, C.S., and Chang, T.J., 1996, Simulation of water quality for Salt Creek in northeastern Illinois: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 96-318, 135 p.

Turner, M.J., 1996, Traveltime and reaeration characteristics of Salt Creek in northeastern Illinois: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 95-771, 14 p.

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Use of a One-Dimensional Flow Model to Compute Discharge on the Illinois River

Contact: Bob Holmes <bholmes@usgs.gov>

The Illinois River flows from it point of origin southwest of Chicago, at the confluence of the Des Plaines and Kankakee Rivers, to the mouth at the Mississippi River just above St. Louis, Missouri. The river has a low gradient, with many off channel lakes and is subject to variable backwater. Currently, the streamflow at the gaging station at Valley City, Illinois, is computed using the slope-station computation method, where slope is determined using the auxiliary gage 9.5 miles upstream at Meredosia. As its name implies, only slope and stage of the river are considered in the computational scheme. As both storage and acceleration are considered to be additional important factors, an effort to improve the computation of daily mean water discharge is being made by implementing the fully dynamic one- dimensional flow model, FEQ, on this stretch of the river. Stage data collected at both Meredosia and Valley City as will be used for the upstream and downstream boundary conditions for the simulation.

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Two-Dimensional Sediment Transport Model of Fox Chain of Lakes System

Contact: Bob Holmes <bholmes@usgs.gov>

The Fox Chain of Lakes, a glacial lake system, is one of the most heavily used recreational boating waterways in the United States because of its close proximity to the Chicago Metropolitan Area. This system is managed by the Fox Waterways Agency (FWA), which has the responsibility to maintain the waterway for boat use. With the average depth ranging from 2 to 4 feet, effective management of the Lake system includes dredging of channels to allow boat traffic. Dredging is ongoing because of refilling of the dredged channels. Inflow from the Fox River and Nippersink Creek are large contributors of sediment to the system; however, resuspension of sediments from boat traffic is believed to be an even larger sedimentation problem. In an effort to more effectively manage the system, the USGS and Fox Waterways Agency are cooperating on a project to determine:

  1. the sediment loads into and through the lakes,
  2. determine the entrainment function for the bed sediments in the lakes,
  3. determine the various forcing functions on bed sediment resuspension in the Lakes (wind induced shear stress, propeller induced shear stress, etc.), and
  4. develop a two-dimensional sediment transport model to understand the sedimentation processes in the lake for future evaluation of management alternatives.
The last stage will involve development of a scheme to assign frequency of boat traffic in certain areas. The SED2D two-dimensional sediment transport model will be used to achieve the project objectives. This model utilizes a finite-element mesh generator.

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Ebner Coulee floodplain mapping with HEC-1 and HEC-2

Project Chief: Steve Melching <csmelchi@usgs.gov>

Problem

The National Flood Insurance Act of 1968 and the Flood Disaster Protection Act of 1973 provide for the operation of a flood-insurance program. The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) needs flood studies in selected areas to determine applicable flood-insurance premium rates. A methodology for the hydrologic and hydraulic evaluation of discharges for the Ebner Coulee box culvert in La Crosse, Wisconsin, is needed.

Objective

To evaluate the 10-, 50-, 100-, and 500-year discharges for Ebner Coulee and determine the boundaries of the regulatory floodplain, considering the operation of the Eber Coulee box culvert. The final flood-plain map will be developed for submission to FEMA.

Approach and Results

The hydraulic capacity of the box culvert at Ebner Coulee at Farnam Street in La Crosse, Wisconsin, was computed.The hydraulic capacity of the box culvert varied with the return period of the design flow considered, because of changing upstream and downstream boundary conditions. The hydraulic capacity of the box culvert is greater than the peak discharge for the 10-year flow at Farnam Street, and equal to 94, 62, and 39-percent of the peak discharge for the 50-year, 100-year, and 500-year flow, respectively, at Farnam Street. Whereas the box culvert has substantial hydraulic capacity to reduce flood flows downstream from Farnam Street, this capacity will be underutilized because no drainage facilities are present to direct the flow spread over the flood plain upstream of Farnam Street into the box culvert. Thus, the conclusion was that until further drainage improvements are added in La Crosse, no modification of the regulatory flood plain is warranted. The revised HEC-1 and HEC-2 models were sent to FEMA and the project completed.

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Design-Flood Estimation Based on Green and Ampt Infiltration Abstraction Procedure (HEC-1)

Project Chief: Steve Melching <csmelchi@usgs.gov>

Problem

The estimation of design flood characteristics for events of key return periods on ungaged or partially gaged streams is one of the most difficult problems in hydrologic engineering. The major source of uncertainty in rainfall-runoff modeling is the estimation of surface runoff. In order to couple rainfall-runoff models with design storms to estimate design floods for ungaged streams, reliable methods are needed to relate abstraction model parameters to basin characteristics such as watershed soils and land use.

Objective

The study will determine if the Green and Ampt infiltration equation as implemented in HEC-1 can be addequately fit to existing rainfall-runoff data for approximately 200 storm events on more than 20 small rural drainage basins.

Approach

The storm events will be simulated using the Green and Ampt infiltration abstraction procedure available in HEC-1 and the relations between soil texture and infiltration parameters developed by the U.S. Department of Agriculture. If adequate results are obtained, a design level of initial soil moisture fraction will be determined which allows the selected rainfall-runoff model to simulate peak discharges at gaged basins using appropriate design storms. The design soil moisture levels will then be analyzed on a regional and soil-type basis, and be verified for additional gaged basins. The Green-Ampt based procedure will also be compared to the results of the SCS curve number procedure and USGS regional flood-frequency methods for the basins used for verification. The results will provide a potentially powerful tool for transfer of parameters for design flood estimation for ungaged watersheds in Illinois.

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Flood-forecasting with HSPF and FEQ using a GENSCN interface

Project Chief: Audrey Ishii <alishii@usgs.gov>

Background

Simulations of flooding on Salt Creek have indicated that flood elevations must be predicted quickly in order to make effective use of operable flood-mitigation structures. Salt Creek has an upper watershed, terminating in the Busse Woods Reservoir, and a lower watershed, starting at the confluence of Sugar Creek. Simulations using the hydrologic and hydraulic models, HSPF and FEQ respectively, have indicated that for a uniform rainfall and single storm event, the lower flood wave will peak about a day before the flood wave from the upper watershed has arrived. This is about 6-8 hours after the centroid of the storm rainfall. Multiple events and rainfall distributed in time and space greatly complicate the flood-wave interaction, as the flood wave from the upper watershed may arrive as the lower watershed flood wave is peaking. Optimal operations of the flood-mitigation structures require an understanding of this possibility that only accurate rainfall data combined with timely flood-forecasting capability can provide.

Flood-mitigation structures can be operated to provide maximum flood-elevation reduction at minimum cost by timing structure operations to make the best use of the dynamic characteristics of a flood wave. Each flood wave is unique, because the shape is determined both by the storage and routing characteristics of the watershed and stream channel the wave travels, and by the rainfall distribution (in time and space), and magnitude of the storm event or events that produced it. The optimal operation of flood-mitigation structures depends on accurate forecasts of flood-wave characteristics and near real-time assessment of the effect of flood-mitigation structure operation.

The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), in cooperation with Du Page County has installed an intensive raingage network throughout the county that is providing detailed real-time rainfall data by radio telemetry. The retrieval, storage, and display operations will be done utilizing software being developed by the USGS to update the home pages provided for World Wide Web access. The software routines will include analysis and formatting capability to make the data accessible and readable for the purpose of updating the watershed and streamflow models of Salt Creek. Floods can be forecasted, and operational scenarios reviewed prior to operating the flood-control structures.

Problem

A flood-forecasting system is needed that is integrated with the rainfall-data collection and retrieval, and that can produce timely and accurate results in a simple, cost-effective manner. The hydrologic and hydraulic models used for design and planning in the Salt Creek watershed are not intended to be used in a near real-time flood-forecasting mode. The detailed routing and continuous-simulation techniques used in the models are extremely detailed and require considerable computational time to produce results. The models need to be simplified and modified for greater robustness for the purpose of flood forecasting. The simulated results from the modified models must be compared to streamflow-gage data and to the fully routed and detailed model simulated results.

Objectives

The objectives of this study are:
  1. to modify and merge the FEQ and HSPF models of the Salt Creek watershed into a near real-time flood-forecasting system for greater robustness and ease of use;
  2. to test the modified models with fully routed simulation results and field data to ensure that the forecasting model is applicable; and
  3. to integrate the models with the data-retrieval and analysis systems being developed for the radio-telemetry raingage network with pre- and post-processors to ensure that the models are user-friendly and produce timely results.
The flood-forecasting system also may be used with forecasted rather than collected rainfall data to allow more time for evaluating alternate flood- mitigation structure operation.

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